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Old 04-05-2007, 03:41 PM
della
Rookie Analyst
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 38
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YTD 0-2 = -4units


Not the best start last week but lets hope we can improve this week.


Rnd 2


Geel vs Carl - Can't really work out the odds for this game, Carl yes have been in ok form but they have beaten pretty much the bottom 4-5 sides thru the NAB Cup and in Rnd 1 whilst the Cats who were pathetic last week still hung around only losing by 20pnts, -4.5 here at the line looks a gift on paper and i feel this is a very good bet indeed, lets hope the cats do the right thing for me this week, they should!


Port vs kangs - Kangs r a pathetic outfit no question but again i feel boomakers have over-reacted to ports win, yes port r a team on the up and kangs r very avg, but getting 31.5pnts start here is alot for mine, thought it should of been around 22.5 line so the value lies with the kangs, port still missing a few and the kangs should be able to keep this close enough to cover.


Ess vs Frem - again quiet don't understand the odds here, if ess had of lost last week and dockers won u would be looking at $1.50 frem instead we now can get $1.89 which is big value for mine, i know the Bombers have improved no question but i have a big opinion of the dockers and can't pass up at the price on offer, the bombers well may continue on there rnd 1 form but the Dockers r a good side and deserve to be clear faves for mine, at the price i am keen on the dockers.


Melb vs Haw - Mel were awful last week as were the Hawks but the Hawks get a few back this week in Crawford, Brown etc whilst the Dees lose another hard nut in McClean, Dees have the better lineup u would say but it seems they have a few players still underdone and down on form early in the piece, prepared to back the Hawks at the line here as there isnt much between them i feel early in the year.


Bets:

2 units Geel -4.5 @ $1.91
2 units Kangs +31.5 @ $1.91
2 units Frem @ $1.89
2 units Hawks +13.5 @ $1.91
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