Home or Away Team
The Home and Away teams are fairly obvious, except when joint tenants are
playing. In these cases, the official home side according to the AFL will be used.
Note that on all official AFL fixtures, the nominal home team is listed first.
The percentages (%) provided will be my calculated estimates of the odds
that each team should command in percentage
terms. It's important to note two things here:
1/ Closeness in my estimated percentages between two teams will not
translate to a close result in actual points score. The percentages should be
seen as a guide to seeking value. I could write a book
on this point but have refrained due to simplicity!
2/ All percentages
total 99%, rounded off. This assumes the percentage of draws (rounded off) is
approximately 1%. (see odds converter)
This is not a mathematically exacting gauge, more of a tick-test margin related
guide. If you must margin bet, then use this sparingly.