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 Australian Rules Football

Free Tips  -  Round 03

Game

Home Team

%

vs

%

Away Team

Banker

1

Essendon 82 vs 17 Carlton  

2

Collingwood 70 vs 29 Geelong  

3

West Coast 65 vs 34 St Kilda  

4

Kangaroos 46 vs 53 Brisbane Lions  

5

Port Adelaide 48 vs 51 Hawthorn  

6

Sydney 50 vs 49 Adelaide Crows  

7

Melbourne 55 vs 44 Western Bulldogs  

8

Richmond 49 vs 50 Fremantle  

Expected winning team in red

Please note our tips will be posted every Thursday 9.30 P.M. EST

** Please note for rounds 1-4 our % are not as exact. Our ratings allow for previous weeks results. We therefore use last years results. Teams do change composition over the pre-season. 

Best Online Footy Tipping Panel .... Click Here

Game 1 - Essendon vs Carlton ( MCG ) - 11th April Night
Last Time:  Essendon 12.20 (92) d Carlton 5.7 (37) at MCG, Round 22, 2003
Bookies: Essendon $1.25 - Carlton $4.50
Comments: Bombers look 100% better on paper ... Bombers easily for us. 
Team Statistics: Click Here For All Teams

Game 2 - Collingwood vs Geelong ( MCG ) - 12th April Day
Last Time:  Geelong 19.13 (127) d Collingwood 15.9 (99) at the MCG, Round 15, 2002
Bookies: Collingwood $1.36 - Geelong $3.50
Comments: Collingwood should win if they are a genuine threat this year.
Team Statistics:
Click Here For All Teams

Game 3 - West Coast vs St Kilda  ( S ) - 12th April Day 
Last Time:  St Kilda 20.7 (127) d West Coast 11.11 (77) at Telstra Dome, Round 10, 2002
Bookies: West Coast $1.35 - St Kilda $3.60
Comments: Eagles at home have to be nearly a sure thing .. however football is a funny game.
Team Statistics:
 Click Here For All Teams

Game 4 - Kangaroos vs Brisbane ( TD ) - 12th April Night
Last Time:  Brisbane Lions 20.18 (138) d Kangaroos 19.9 (123) at the Gabba, Round 12, 2002
Bookies: Kangaroos $3.80 - Brisbane $1.35
Comments: Here is our first chance to see how good the Lions depth actual is.
Team Statistics:
 Click Here For All Teams

Game 5 - Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn ( FP ) - 12th April Night
Last Time:  Port Adelaide 17.15 (117) defeated Hawthorn 12.5 (77) at York Park, Round 10, 2002
Bookies: Port Adelaide $1.53 - Hawthorn $2.60
Comments:  The Power have yet to switch on the lights this season ... why this week?
Team Statistics: Click Here For All Teams

Game 6 - Sydney vs Adelaide ( SCG ) - 13th April Day
Last Time:  Adelaide 17.14 (116) d Sydney 15.8 (98)
at the SCG, Round 18, 2002 
Bookies: Sydney $2.15 - Adelaide $1.83
Comments: Sydney back to the SCG could be a tricky affair.
Team Statistics: Click Here For All Teams 

Game 7 - Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs ( TD ) - 13th April Day
Last Time: Melbourne 15.17 (107) d. Western Bulldogs 14.11 (95), at the MCG, Round 20, 2002
Bookies: Melbourne $1.61 - Bulldogs $ 2.50
Comments: Melbourne masters of the Telstra dome.
Team Statistics: Click Here For All Teams

Game 8 - Richmond vs Fremantle ( MCG ) - 13th April Day
Last Time: Richmond 18.14 (122) d Fremantle 10.12 (72) at the MCG, Round 19, 2002
Bookies: Richmond $1.620 - Fremantle $2.40
Comments: Who is going to kick the tigers goals ... has me stumped.
Team Statistics: Click Here For All Teams

Venue Legend: (BS)- Baytec Stadium / Kardinia / Skilled Stadium (TD)- Colonial Stadium / Docklands / Telstra Dome (FP)- Football Park / AAMI Stadium (GABBA)- Brisbane (MCG)- Melbourne Cricket Ground (MO)- Manuka Oval (OO)- Princess Park / Optus Oval (S)- Subiaco Oval (SA)- Stadium Australia / Telstra Stadium (SCG)- Sydney Cricket Ground (YP)- York Park.

Glossary

Home or Away Team

The Home and Away teams are fairly obvious, except when joint tenants are playing. In these cases, the official home side according to the AFL will be used. Note that on all official AFL fixtures, the nominal home team is listed first.

% Estimates

The percentages (%) provided will be my calculated estimates of  the odds that each team should command in percentage terms. It's important to note two things here:

1/ Closeness in my estimated percentages between two teams will not necessarily translate to a close result in actual points score. The percentages should be seen as a guide to seeking value.  I could write a book on this point but have refrained due to simplicity!

2/ All percentages total 99%, rounded off. This assumes the percentage of draws (rounded off) is approximately 1%. (see odds converter)

Banker

This is not a mathematically exacting gauge, more of a tick-test margin related guide. If you must margin bet, then use this sparingly. 

Good Luck

Previous Rounds

Round 01 Round 02    
 

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